Revenue metrics

MRR, ARR, gross revenue, and the new/expansion/contraction/churn bridge all come from the same place: the managed revenue_analytics_* views PostHog builds from Stripe or your own revenue events. This skill turns that data into a model you can reuse everywhere.

Model on the managed views, not raw tables

PostHog auto-generates a curated view per source: revenue_item for gross revenue and MRR over time, mrr for a live snapshot, plus customer, subscription, and product. They already handle deferred-revenue recognition, currency, and a stable schema, so deriving revenue from raw Stripe tables means redoing work PostHog already did.

Gotchas

  • MRR is empty without a subscription config. For event-based revenue, that's expected behaviour, not a bug. Say so instead of "fixing" it.
  • The mrr view is a snapshot, not history. For MRR over time, sum recurring amount per month from revenue_item instead.
  • amount is already in base currency. Only call convertCurrency() for a different target currency, or when working from raw events.
  • The Revenue dashboard is being retired (~2026-06-30). Model against the views and properties, never the dashboard UI.

The skill itself

Fig. 1
modeling-revenue-metrics/SKILL.md
---
name: modeling-revenue-metrics
description: >
Build reusable revenue models — MRR, ARR, gross revenue, new/expansion/contraction/churn, ARPU, LTV, and
per-customer/per-account revenue — on either PostHog data-warehouse views (HogQL) or an external dbt
project. Use when the user wants to model, define, or compute recurring revenue, monthly/annual recurring
revenue, churn or retention of revenue, lifetime value, average revenue per user, or revenue by customer,
cohort, product, or currency. On PostHog, build on the managed revenue_analytics_* views (revenue_item,
mrr, customer, subscription, charge, product) fed by Stripe or custom revenue events — not raw Stripe
tables — and normalize money with convertCurrency(). In dbt, stage the payment source and compute
fct_mrr / fct_revenue_item / dim_customer marts with tests. Covers picking the right source, the
subscription-config gotcha that leaves MRR empty, currency handling, and linking revenue to persons/groups.
Read modeling-warehouse-foundations first for the view-vs-dbt mechanics.
---
# Modeling revenue metrics
Turn payment/subscription data into durable revenue models. Read `modeling-warehouse-foundations` first for
the view-vs-dbt decision, the `view-*` workflow, and `convertCurrency()`; this skill is the revenue-specific
layer on top. Metric definitions live in
[`references/revenue-metric-definitions.md`](references/revenue-metric-definitions.md); copy-paste recipes in
[`references/posthog/`](references/posthog/) and [`references/dbt/`](references/dbt/).
## Step 1 — find where revenue lives
Revenue reaches PostHog two ways; both feed the same **managed `revenue_analytics_*` views**:
- **A payment platform as a warehouse source** — Stripe today (Chargebee/Polar/RevenueCat coming). Best when
the business runs on a billing platform. Connect via `setting-up-a-data-warehouse-source`.
- **Custom revenue events** — you send events (e.g. `purchase_completed`) with a revenue property. Best when
there's no supported platform or you already track revenue in-product.
If neither exists yet, use `suggesting-data-imports` to recommend a source. In **dbt**, the equivalent is
staging whichever billing tables landed in the warehouse.
## Step 2 — model on the managed views, not raw tables
PostHog auto-generates a curated set of views per source. **Do not re-derive revenue from raw Stripe
tables** — the managed views already handle deferred-revenue recognition, currency, and a stable schema.
Discover the exact names (they're prefixed by source, e.g. `stripe.<prefix>.…`, plus a cross-source
`revenue_analytics.all.…`):
```sql
SELECT table_name FROM system.information_schema.tables WHERE table_name ILIKE '%revenue_analytics%'
```
| Managed view | Grain | Use for |
| ------------------------------- | ---------------------------- | --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| `revenue_item` (**start here**) | 1 / invoice line item | Gross revenue, monthly recurring revenue, revenue by product/customer/period. Implements deferred revenue + currency. |
| `mrr` | 1 / (customer, subscription) | **Live snapshot** of current MRR — not a time series. |
| `customer` | 1 / customer | `dim_customer`: email, country, cohort, metadata. |
| `subscription` | 1 / subscription | Subscription state for churn/expansion logic. |
| `charge` | 1 / charge | Raw charges; prefer `revenue_item` unless you specifically need charges. |
| `product` | 1 / product | Product dimension. |
Key `revenue_item` columns: `amount` (already converted to the project **base currency**), `currency` (that
base currency), `original_amount` / `original_currency` (as charged), `is_recurring`, `customer_id`,
`subscription_id`, `product_id`, `group_0_key``group_4_key` (B2B account keys), `timestamp`.
## Rules before you model (revenue gotchas)
1. **MRR is empty without a subscription config.** For event-based revenue, MRR only populates when a
subscription property is configured. Empty MRR + populated gross revenue is **expected behaviour**, not a
bug — say so instead of "fixing" it.
2. **The `mrr` managed view is a current snapshot**, not history ("MRR at the current time"). For MRR _over
time_, sum recurring `amount` per month from `revenue_item` (see the recipe), or materialize a monthly
snapshot of the `mrr` view on a schedule.
3. **`amount` is already in base currency.** Use it directly for reporting. Only call
`convertCurrency(original_currency, 'XXX', original_amount, timestamp)` when you need a _different_ target
currency, or when working from raw events.
4. **Link revenue to people via metadata.** Person/group-level revenue needs
`posthog_person_distinct_id` metadata on the Stripe customer (or the person join). Without it, revenue is
customer-level only.
5. **Don't build on the Revenue dashboard** — it's being retired (~2026-06-30). Model against the
`revenue_analytics_*` views and the person/group revenue properties.
6. **Exclude test accounts.** Confirm `filter_test_accounts` behaviour so QA/internal charges don't inflate
revenue.
## Step 3 — build the model
**PostHog:** write the HogQL (alias every column), `view-create`, verify with `view-get`, then
`view-materialize` the expensive monthly rollups (a daily `sync_frequency` is usually right for revenue).
Recipes: [`references/posthog/`](references/posthog/)`mrr_and_arr.sql`, `gross_revenue_by_month.sql`,
`revenue_by_customer.sql`.
**dbt:** stage the billing source → `fct_revenue_item`, `fct_mrr`, `dim_customer` marts with tests.
Recipes: [`references/dbt/`](references/dbt/). Note dbt has no `convertCurrency()` — supply a rate seed.
Then register the model (`references/governance.md` in foundations): annotate columns and, if MRR/ARR is a
headline number, propose it to the semantic layer.
## File map
| File | Read when |
| -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| [`references/revenue-metric-definitions.md`](references/revenue-metric-definitions.md) | Precise definitions: MRR, ARR, gross, new/expansion/contraction/churn, ARPU, LTV. |
| [`references/posthog/`](references/posthog/) | HogQL view recipes on the managed views. |
| [`references/dbt/`](references/dbt/) | dbt staging + `fct_*`/`dim_*` marts + `schema.yml` tests. |
## Companions
`modeling-warehouse-foundations` (mechanics), `setting-up-a-data-warehouse-source` +
`suggesting-data-imports` (get Stripe/revenue data in), `modeling-dimension-tables` (currency/plan
dimensions), `querying-posthog-data` (HogQL + the semantic-layer metric check).
Fig. 1The skill itself, the file an agent follows to build a revenue model.
covers picking the right source, the subscription-config gotcha, currency handling, and linking revenue to persons and groups, with a HogQL recipe and a full dbt `fct_mrr` / `fct_revenue_item` / `dim_customer` scaffold.

Copy it into your own agent, or find it in the PostHog monorepo.